Wednesday, 4 February 2009

Analysis of the Software Sector

As I posted a couple of days ago, I've now got details of the companies that comprise the Software Sector (as per IG Index). These companies are;
  • Autonomy Corp
  • Aveva Group
  • Dimension Data
  • Fidessa Group
  • Invensys
  • Logica
  • Micro Focus Inte
  • Misys
  • Sage Group
  • TeleCity
I was pleasantly surprised that there are that many to deal with. It'll make the analysis a lot easier!

I'm going to start the analysis by simply looking at the technicals of each of the companies. A small scan will reveal whether the company is a leader or a laggard - by that I mean is the companies performance in line with the index or is the company performing badly compared to the index. I'm only interested in leaders

Autonomy Corp - LEADER
Aveva Group - LAGGARD
Dimension Data - LAGGARD
Fidessa Group - LAGGARD
Invensys - LAGGARD
Logica - LAGGARD
Micro Focus Int - LEADER
Misys - LAGGARD
Sage Group - LAGGARD
TeleCity - LEADER

Now, lets delve a little deeper into these companies.
Autonomy Software - Key points
  • "A leader in intelligent search" (sounds interesting, this is a company that are working in just the right sort of area to benefit from Web 2.0)
  • They are trading at or near 2 year highs. (Perfect, although there may be resistance as they try to break through these highs)
  • Grown from T/O of $65m in 2004 to $503m in 2008. (Very impressive growth)
  • Recently introduced a new search product (innovation and R&D spend is the sign of a good company)
  • They have cash on the Balance Sheet (can finance 'stuff' without need to borrow)
  • Debt/Equity Ratio is comparatively low at 2.37 (less exposure to credit crunch)
I like what I read about Autonomy. Definitely on the watch list.

Micro Focus Int - Key points
  • "Provider of enterprise application management solutions" (mmm, not actually sure I know what that means!)
  • Look to have expanded through acquisition (can be a risky strategy due to integration challenges)
  • Purchased a company on 4th Jan 2009. (In the current market condition, this is an impressive bit of business - I wonder how they funded it?)
  • They are trading at or near 2 year highs (Shows they are performing irrespective of the current crisis.
  • They have grown steadily since 2004 (Solid growth as opposed to explosive)
  • NO DEBT! (this makes them bloody attractive!)
I also like this company. It's on the watch list

TeleCity - Key points
  • Pan European provider of independent data centers (yawn - this is not exciting!!)
  • Recently announced an Amsterdam data centre (oookay, my tits are now really sagging. Not an interesting business, but, yawn, I'll keep looking)
  • Doubled in size since 2006 (ok, thats quite cool)
  • They are recovering from hitting a low in Nov 2008.
  • Debt/Equity a massive 47.88 (This is a worry)
Telecity have been relegated to TheAtticMans sub bench. I'll keep an eye out, but they are certainly less investable than Autonomy and Micro Focus

I'll take a real quick look at the LAGGARDS to make sure I've not missed anything.....I've had a look and nothing jumps out as exciting.

Next steps. Some more detailed research into the companies and some consideration on logical entry points.

Autonomy - daily chart












Micro Focus - daily chart
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